Concettina Died and Other Stories of the East Side

Sports Scores, posted February 6, 2008 at 03:18 AM

I would be a complete nightmare if I were into sports. Politics is bad enough.

# of states:
OBAMA: 13 (or 14, depending on New Mexico), CLINTON: 9 (or 8, depending on New Mexico)

# of delegates:

Missouri: Clinton leads all night and then Obama wins it by a razor-thin margin.
New Mexico: 3:15am and with 98% of precincts reporting Clinton's up by fewer than 1000 votes. That is a CLOSE election.

Not Surprises:
The media is split almost as evenly as the voters--some outlets are reporting a big Clinton win, others are reporting Obama's big night.
Hillary held onto California handily.
Huckabee did better than expected overall. Scary, scary stuff.

How'd I do?:
Pretty good, actually. I thought I was being overly generous to Obama, but he won more than I predicted. I got five states wrong:
-I thought California would be a toss-up, but Clinton held it solidly by 12 points.
-I thought Delaware would be a toss-up, but Obama won by 10 points.
-I thought Minnesota would be a toss-up, but Obama won by 35 points! (Caucuses are hard to poll).
-I thought Missouri was solidly in Hillary's column--then Obama pulls it out at the end by less than 1 point.
-I thought New Mexico was solidly in Hillary's column--but it's just too close to call.
I pretty much nailed the point spreads in Arkansas, Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, and Utah.

Here's my scorecard, with checkmarks and Xs to indicate right and wrong, and actual percentages in parentheses following my predictions.


And you? How'd you do?

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